- Unhosted Newsletter
- Posts
- Unhosted Weekly #46 - August 25th
Unhosted Weekly #46 - August 25th
Healthy Correction 💊

📉 BTC Risk Check → Chance your Bitcoin bags go red depends on how long you hold

💎 Ethereum just flipped Mastercard — now sitting as the 22nd most valuable asset on Earth

🐳 MicroStrategy flex: holding 12× more BTC than the next closest corporate bagholder

🔒 Long-term bullish vibes locked in

Probably pumping his own bags :)
🟧 Bitcoin’s door is always open — step in

Bitcoin’s “Boring Retest” Sets the Stage for $150K
How to turn panic dips into conviction plays.
What’s happening now
BTC retesting $110K–$118K breakout zone
Weekend whale unloaded 24K BTC (classic Sunday dump)
Why it matters
Textbook retest: old resistance ➜ new support
Fear everywhere = not a cycle top
Global liquidity (M2) ticking higher = firepower for Q4
Actionable move
Ladder bids: $112K–$110K
Hard stop: daily close < $108K
TP zones: $138K ➜ $150K
1. The Retest No One Wanted—But Bulls Needed

Bitcoin ripped to $118K, then bled back to its breakout neckline.
Liquidity check: shakeouts, weak hands flushed
Sunday whale dump: 24K BTC dropped in low-liquidity hours
Outcome: Market already reabsorbing — constructive, not bearish
Trade idea: Scale in from $112K down to $110K.
Stop: < $108K daily close.
Target: $138K–$150K.
2. Macro Tailwind: The $18B-Per-Day Printer 🖨️
Trump’s fiscal plan = ~$18–20B daily Treasury issuance.

Expanding M2 = more liquidity chasing scarce assets
BTC historically lags M2 by ~3 months
Play: Keep ≥50% of crypto stack in BTC until M2 slope turns down 2 months straight.
3. Sentiment Check: PTSD Everywhere

Fear index ≈ 47 (not euphoric, far from cycle top)
CT screaming “bear market” = actually bullish contrarian
Veterans panicking while new retail isn’t even here yet
Translation: Tops form on euphoria. We’re nowhere near.
4. September FUD ≠ End of Cycle
Historically September = weak for BTC
But this is the final phase of the 4-year cycle → silly season
Bob Lucas: best rallies come when most are skeptical

So while mid-curvers hedge themselves to death, dumb bulls (buy every dip) will likely win this phase.
5. Whale Watch 🐋

MicroStrategy keeps refinancing to stack sats
MetaPlanet (Japan’s “mini-Sailor”) adding dips
Grant Cardone shook by his first Sunday dump — welcome to Bitcoin, Grant
Playbook Cheat-Sheet
Swing (3–8 wks): Long BTC from $110K → $150K, stop $108K
Position (2–6 mths): Hold ≥50% BTC core, rotate later into ETH/SOL
Event-driven: Watch MSTR raises — failed convert = warning sign
Macro hedge: Cash up only when M2 slope flips negative
Bottom Line
Ignore the noise. BTC’s “boring” retest is fuel, not failure.
$150K is still on the table — size smart, automate exits, and clean your wallet approvals before the next leg up. 🚀
Want to get the real alpha? Subscribe to our pro newsletter —> here
Reply